Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer

Executive Summary
A Dwarkesh Podcast conversation with Ada Palmer, a historian at the University of Chicago and science fiction author, about Machiavelli and The Prince: why Italy was so unstable in 1513, how the papacy and city-state governments worked, and what Machiavelli meant by liberty and fair justice. PARTIAL COVERAGE: the episode runs about 128 minutes and the available caption text is cut off, so this summary covers the opening historical context and the discussion of Cesare Borgia (called Valentino), and not later topics. This is a historical discussion of 16th-century Italy and Palmer's interpretation, not a view on current politics.
Key Takeaways
Why The Prince was urgent
Palmer says Machiavelli wrote to Lorenzo di Piero de' Medici in 1513, in an Italy he saw as ruined and in need of a ruler.
Legitimacy from continuity
She says long-running governments gain legitimacy, so when one is overthrown there are often many more overthrows, citing France and the Wars of the Roses.
Italy's volatile city-states
She says six or seven city-states had been uprooted when Machiavelli was born and dozens by the time of The Prince, so almost no government had staying power.
The papacy
She says popes were seen as abstract from far away but as specific people with families and rivals from within Italy, which made them easy to fight.
Guelphs and Ghibellines
She says Italy was divided between those who saw the pope as the rightful successor to the Roman emperors and those who looked to the Holy Roman Empire.
Fair justice under a conqueror
She says Valentino's regime was popular in some cities because a neutral outsider gave the same justice regardless of faction.
Liberty means a process
She says Machiavelli thought that if someone can have you killed arbitrarily you are a slave, whereas a system with trials and a public process is liberty even if biased.
The Conversation Breakdown
Why The Prince was urgent
⏱ Untimed topicPalmer says Machiavelli wrote to Lorenzo di Piero de' Medici in 1513, in an Italy he saw as ruined and in need of a ruler.
Legitimacy from continuity
⏱ Untimed topicShe says long-running governments gain legitimacy, so when one is overthrown there are often many more overthrows, citing France and the Wars of the Roses.
Italy's volatile city-states
⏱ Untimed topicShe says six or seven city-states had been uprooted when Machiavelli was born and dozens by the time of The Prince, so almost no government had staying power.
The papacy
⏱ Untimed topicShe says popes were seen as abstract from far away but as specific people with families and rivals from within Italy, which made them easy to fight.
Guelphs and Ghibellines
⏱ Untimed topicShe says Italy was divided between those who saw the pope as the rightful successor to the Roman emperors and those who looked to the Holy Roman Empire.
Fair justice under a conqueror
⏱ Untimed topicShe says Valentino's regime was popular in some cities because a neutral outsider gave the same justice regardless of faction.
Liberty means a process
⏱ Untimed topicShe says Machiavelli thought that if someone can have you killed arbitrarily you are a slave, whereas a system with trials and a public process is liberty even if biased.
Core Frameworks & Ideas
Legitimacy through continuity - Palmer's account
A break in a long-lived government tends to cause repeated breaks.
Neutral justice - Palmer's reading of Valentino
Fair treatment of ordinary people can earn their support.
Liberty as process - Machiavelli as Palmer describes him
Freedom means being subject to a system, not to arbitrary power.
Actionable Next Steps
- ✓Read a short summary of The Prince and compare it with Palmer's description.
- ✓Note one institution you rely on and what gives it legitimacy.
- ✓Ask how fairly your own team's rules apply to different people.
- ✓Check the dates and events in the episode against historical sources.
Notable Quotes
“Almost no government has staying power.”
“Almost every government is ripe for yet another replacement, yet another replacement, yet another replacement.”
“if you live in a state where there is an arbitrary power who can have you put to death, you are a slave.”
The One Thing to Remember
Palmer says Machiavelli wrote in an Italy where governments had little staying power, and that he valued a fair process over personal rule.